Belarus - Overview
Introduction
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Economic overview
Belarus obtains gas and oil from Russia at a reduced price and its growth comes largely from the re-exportation of Russian oil at market price which has created a source of tension with Russia. Its trade with Russia, by far its most important partner, diminished in 2007. Russia has introduced a customs duty on petroleum products exported into Belarus. Russia also increased the price of gas from USD 47 per cubic meter to USD 100 in 2007 and it is expecting to sell it at market price by 2011. This recent Russian policy of raising Belarus' energy prices to world market levels should create, as a consequence, a slowdown in Belarus' economic growth over the next few years.
Some political decisions, notably the establishment of fiscal measures to improve energy efficiency and to diversify exports, have been implemented. Nonetheless, borrowing has been the primary mechanism used by the government in recent years to limit the growing pressure on the economy. Belarus has been affected by the global economic crisis and even though the country had broken up all connections with the IMF in 2004, it requested a loan at the end of 2008. Thus Belarus obtained this way USD 2.5 billion in financial aid to cope with the effects of the crisis.
Officially, Belarus has experienced a large growth these recent years, attaining a rate of 6% in 2010. But the effects of the global crisis have been severely felt , most of all in the industrial sector. The aid accorded by the IMF provoked a devaluation of the Belarusian ruble by 40% without positive results on the GDP. The GDP reached 10% in 2008, but its growth contracted to 0.2% in 2009.
It is important to note that the Belarus' official figures are subject to question, such as the unemployment rate which was announced at only 1%.
Main industries
The industry sector accounts for 41.8% of the GDP and employs 34.7% of workers. The main industries of Belarus are machine tools, agricultural equipment, fertilizers, chemical products, prefabricated construction material, motor vehicles, motorcycles, textiles and some consumer products (such as refrigerators, watches, televisions, and radios).
The tertiary sector contributes around 50% to the GDP and employs 51.3% of Belarusian workers.
Foreign trade overview
The export of goods increased to nearly 62%, attaining USD 17.3 billion. However, this trend did not continue in 2009 due to the reduction of global demand. Belarus main clients are Russia (33%), the Netherlands (13%) and Ukraine (8%).
As for imports, they increased by 55%, attaining nearly USD 20 billion. Its main trade import partners are Russia (56%), Germany (8%), Ukraine and China (4%).
Belarus' trade balance remains highly negative, mainly due to the increase in the price of oil sold by Russia. As a fact, Russia remains Belarus' main trade partner.
FDI
Nearly 3,000 companies founded with the participation of investors from 77 countries are present in Belarus. Belarus' five main investors are Russia, Switzerland, Austria, Germany and Latvia. The most attractive sectors to foreign investors are construction and metallurgy, consumer goods, chemical and petro-chemical products, wood, transport and the medical sector.
In order to clean its debts towards international institutions (IMF, Word's Bank) and Russia, Belarus refuses to obtain new loans and considers to attract investors by proposing the sale of the bank Belinvestbank and its refineries.
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